Political Data Capture
Trump/Biden race numbers below.
Political Data Capture is a newer product for string logic. Our first attempt at using String Logic to predict a political run was in 2012, String Logic got it right. With our successful 2012 test run, we decided to try it on other races. Again and again String Logic got it right. The rest is history.
Between August and November of 2016, String Logic predicted that Trump would take the White House. Nearly every poll in the United States said otherwise. After posting numbers contrary to standard polling for three months, at 3:22 AM on November 8, 2016 -the day of the election, String Logic’s final prediction was posted on Twitter. It wasn't a set of numbers or operators like we had been posting, it was just one simple sentence. "String Logic predicts that Trump will take the White House...." We didn’t believe it ourselves because we were so far away from the polls but that is where the data took us. That evening, as Trump took state after state, it was clear that String Logic was seeing something that standard polling and other technologies were missing.
String Logic has continued to correctly predict every political race run through its logic, including, but not limited to; Barack Obama 2012, Donald Trump 2016, Marsha Blackburn 2018, and Kerry Roberts X 2 2014/2018. Confidential requests are not released.
Careful analysis of the 2016 results in the months that followed led us to believe that extreme polarization in the United States over the Trump and Hillary Clinton race created a unique atmosphere, one that rendered standard polling obsolete.
Confidentiality: String Logic can run numbers for any race or candidate (worldwide) with the highest level of confidentiality to clients. PoliticalData@StringLogic.net
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- Senator Kerry Roberts
String Logic was an invaluable tool that gave us an understanding of where we were in the 2014/18 races for the Senate. In my arsenal of tools, I would consider string logic to be near the top. As each race came to an end, it was clear that string logic had predicted the outcomes precisely.
String Logic's proprietary human behavior predictors scan the World Wide Web looking for human intent that would otherwise be innocuous but, pulled together, become a very powerful voice of human behavior. String Logic is currently tracking the 2020 Joe Biden/Donald Trump race for the White House. Numbers are posted below, or you can follow us on Twitter.
For questions or inquiries about String Logic’s political data capture products, email us that PoliticalData@StringLogic.net
Trump/Biden race for the White House
2020 Democratic Presidential Candidate Joe Biden
2020 Incumbent Republican President Donald Trump
2020 Presidential Race numbers
ABOUT RESULTS: String Logic scans millions of data sources across the net to capture human intent or opinion on any topic, subject, brand, or in this case, the 2020 Trump/Biden race for the White House. The data is coalesced and converted into the stats you see below. To date, String Logic has a perfect track record predicting political-race outcomes going back to the 2012 election year, including the 2016 Trump/Hillary run. String Logic predictions are available for review below or on Twitter going back to 2012.
Our scans typically look back 24-hours, one-week or one-month. Occasionally we run longer scans. The 24 hours scans collect human reaction to recent political events like the announcement of a running mate. As we move into the longer time frames the data becomes more accumulative. String Logic technology is able to accomplish this by using proprietary language filters that can measure intent statistically. To learn more about String Logic or any of our products, send us an email. Sales@StringLogic.net
November 1, 2020
Looking at both the accumulative numbers and the close numbers in the battleground states, String Logic predicts incumbent candidate, President Donald J. Trump, will defeat Former Vice President Joe Biden and once again win the White House. For more numbers see our Twitter feed.
BREAKING: Trump regains 1-Yr-scan. Up 0.065 from 10/21. 1Year Scan (ACCUMULATIVE): The 1-year scan is the more important #. Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump=0.5333 Biden=0.4666 = Trump 53%)
October 26, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day by the tiniest fraction since we started running #'s. Biden's also down 0.0469 on the 24 hr scan from Oct 23.. Trump 0.4951 Biden 0.5048 (Biden= 50.48%)
October 23, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day on 24hr-scan but his lead is down 0.0331 from Oct 7.. Trump 0.4482 Biden 0.5517 (Biden= 55%)
DEBATE: Trump/Biden (Who won the debate tonight?) Net chatter says Trump takes the night. Trump = 0.5852 Biden = 0.4147 = Trump 59% on moderate traffic.
October 21, 2020
BREAKING: Biden pulls ahead for the first time on 1-Yr-scan. Up 0.0408 from 10/15. 1Year Scan (ACCUMULATIVE): The 1-year scan is the more important #. Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump=0.4683 Biden=0.5316 = Biden 53%)
October 15, 2020
ONE Year Scan (ACCUMULATIVE): The 1-year scan is the more important number. Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump leads fractionally on 1-Yr-scan and he's up 0.006 from 9/24 Trump = 0.5091 Biden 0.4908 (Trump = 51%)
1 Week Scan:-Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden takes the week. Trump 0.416 Biden 0.5839 = Biden 58% SOURCE ->http://StringLogic.net
October 8, 2020
DEBATE: (Who won?) Kamala Harris & Mike Pence debate numbers are in. Pence takes the night. Pence = 0.5422 harris = 0.4577 =Pence 54% on heavy traffic.
October 7, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day on 24hr-scan, up 0.0786 from Oct 5.. Trump 0.4151 Biden 0.5848 (Biden= 58%) Reverse logic garnered same result-> lower # wins- Trump = 0.7865 Biden = 0.2134
October 5, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden inches out a win on the 24hr-scan. Trump 0.4937 Biden 0.5062 (Biden= 51%)
October 2, 2020
1 Week Scan: Post-debate scan-Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden takes the week. Trump 0.4146 Biden 0.5853 = Biden 59% SOURCE ->http://StringLogic.net
September 30, 2020
Who won the debate? Biden wins. Net chatter scan: Biden = 0.637 Trump = 0.3629 (Results based on String Logic scan of millions of conversations across the web.) www.StringLogic.net
September 28, 2020
1 Week Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden takes the week. Trump 0.3976 Biden 0.6023 = Biden 60% Though Biden continues to inch ahead on the day and week scans he will need to continue to lead if he is to capture the accumulative. On the accumulative Trump still holds a fractional lead at 0.5031 of intent language. If the election was held today String Logic predicts Trump would win by a very small margin.
September 24, 2020
ONE Year Scan (ACCUMULATIVE): Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump leads fractionally on 1-Yr-scan. Trump 0.5031 Biden 0.4968 (Trump = 51%) Very close race...
September 22, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day on 24hr-scan, up 0.0174 from Sep 19.. Trump 0.3916 Biden 0.6083 (Biden= 61%)
September 19, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day on 24hr-scan, but down 0.376 from Sep 16.. Trump 0.409 Biden 0.5909 (Biden= 59%)
September 16, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day on 24hr-scan, up 0.1068 from Sep 15.. Trump 0.3714 Biden 0.6285 (Biden= 63%)
September 15, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day on 24hr-scan, up 0.0375 from Sep 13.. Trump 0.4782 Biden 0.5217 (Biden= 52%)
September 13, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump wins the day on 24hr-scan, up 0.0621 from Sep 10.. Trump 0.5157 Biden 0.4842 (Trump = 51%)
September 10, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden takes back the day on 24hr-scan. Trump 0.4431 Biden 0.5568 (Biden = 56%)
September 9, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump wins the day on 24hr-scan, up 0.0529 from Sep 5.. Trump 0.5052 Biden 0.4947 (Trump = 51%)
September 5, 2020
General Chatter Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Who's being talked about the most. Trump has a fractional lead. Trump 0.505 Biden 0.4949 + (Trump 50.1%)
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden maintains daily win run on 24hr-scan, down 0.0795 from Sep 4.. Trump 0.4523 Biden 0.5376 (Biden = 54%)
September 4, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden maintains daily win run on 24hr-scan, up 0.0846 from Sep 1.. Trump 0.3728 Biden 0.6271 (Biden = 62.%)
September 1, 2020
4 MONTH-Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden overtakes Trump on the 4-month scan with heavy traffic. Trump 0.4909 Biden 0.509 = Biden 51%. A very close race. SOURCE ->http://StringLogic.net
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden maintains daily win run on 24hr-scan, up 0.0099 from Aug 31.. Trump 0.4574 Biden 0.5425 (Biden = 54.%) CORRECTION ON AUG 31 Biden % should have been 53%
30-Day-Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden overtakes Trump on 30-day scan with moderate traffic. Trump 0.4608 Biden 0.5391 = Biden 54%. A 0.0658 gain from Aug 21.
August 31, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden maintains daily win run on 24hr-scan, down 0.0527 from Aug 28.. Trump 0.4673 Biden 0.5326 (Biden = 53.%)
August 28, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden maintains daily win run with again a small gain on 24hr-scan, up 0.0076 from yesterday.. Trump 0.4146 Biden 0.5853 (Biden = 59.%)
August 27, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden maintains daily win run with small gain on 24hr-scan, up 0.0682 from yesterday.. Trump 0.4222 Biden 0.5777 (Biden = 58.%)
August 26, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language-Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day but lead diminishes on 24hr-scan. Down 0.1034 from yesterday.. Trump 0.4904 Biden 0.5095 (Biden = 51.%)
August 25, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day but down on the 24hr-scan post-convention, down 0.0931 from yesterday.. Trump 0.4222 Biden 0.5777 (Biden = 57%)
Trump/Biden-Citizen Predictor -This number captures who people believe will win the election in 2020, not who they are voting for. Trump wins this category at 71%. Trump = 0.7142 Biden = 0.2857
August 24, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden maintains lead on 24hr-scan. Up 0.0552 from yesterday.. Trump 0.387 Biden 0.6129 (Biden = 61%)
August 23, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden up a fraction on the 24hr scan and again wins the day, up 0.0022 from yesterday.. Trump 0.3291 Biden 0.6708
August 22, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Language Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden lost a little ground on the 24hr scan but again wins the day. Trump 0.3269 Biden 0.673 Bided needs to maintain these #'s for a few more days to capture the overall lead.
August 20, 2020
30-Day-Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump leads on heavy traffic. Trump 0.5266 Biden 0.4733 = Trump 52% Biden 47%. That's a 0.005 gain from our May 1st 30-day-scan
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day on heavy traffic in day 4 of the Democratic Convention. Trump 0.2592 Biden 0.7407 = Trump 25% Biden 74%. We're running a 30 scan to see how the last few days of numbers are affecting the big picture.
August 19, 2020
The numbers posted here will mirror our Twitter feed with a delay. For the most current numbers, follow us on Twitter.
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden wins the day on moderate traffic in day 3 of the Democratic Convention. Trump 0.3884 Biden 0.6115 = Trump 38% Biden 61%. The obvious oscillation indicates a close race.
August 18, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House - Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump wins the day on heavy traffic following Michelle Obama's speech. Trump 0.6363 Biden 0.3636 = 63% Trump 36% Biden. MORE
August 17, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden takes the day. Trump 0.4625 Biden 0.5375 = 46% Trump 53% Biden on moderate traffic. The obvious oscillation indicates a close race.
August 15, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump moves back into lead. Trump 0.6111 Biden 0.3888 = 61% Trump 38% Biden on light traffic.
August 14, 2020
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden inches further ahead as Biden/Harris upward trend continues. Trump 0.3863 Biden 0.6136 = 38% Trump 61% Biden -on moderate traffic.
August 12, 2020
Upward trend pushes Biden into the lead following Kamala Harris announcement. Comparison: Aug 10/12 Week scans and most recent 24 hr scan. See previous 3 Tweets for numbers.
24 Hr Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) We're running the 24hr scan to capture any Kamala Harris effect: Biden inches ahead. Trump 0.4935 Biden 0.5064 = 49% Trump to 50% Biden
1 Week Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) We're running the 1wk scan to capture any Kamala Harris effect: Biden inches ahead. Trump 0.4978 Biden 0.5021 = 49% Trump to 50% Biden
August 10, 2020
One Week Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump maintains lead: Trump 0.5165 Biden 0.4834 = 51% Trump to 48% Biden
August 2, 2020
One Week Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump maintains lead: Trump 0.5873 Biden 0.4126 = 58% Trump to 41% Biden.
July 27, 2020
Trump's handling of the Coronavirus. Approve/Disapprove scan: Approval language detected = 0.6363. Disapproval Language Detected = 0.3636. About 63% say they Approve. Net scan (one week) language tracker.
July 22, 2020
String Logic One-Week Scan:-> Trump would win reelection if the election were held today. Based on intent language. See previous Tweet for numbers.
Trump Approval Rating: 7 Day Scan --> (Approval language detected = 0.7313) - (Disapproval Language = 0.2686) = a little above 70% approval language detected last 7 days.
Intelligence: Who's smarter? Net Scan for positive and negitive languege->Biden wins with 56%. Ran it 2 ways, got same #. 1) Candidate Comparison:-> B= 0.5679 T= 0.432 - 2) Attack languege:-> T= 0.5604 B= 0.4395 (SCAN: 1 YR) (Historical Fact-- Hillary won this catigory in 2016)
July 20, 2020
String Logic 24-hour scan shows Joe Biden trailing Pres. Trump. Numbers--> Trump 0.6818 ->Biden 0.3181 A significant lead on the 24-hour scan.
One Week Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump holds onto lead: Trump 0.5902 Biden 0.4097
July 14, 2020
One Week Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump moves further ahead: Trump 0.6035 Biden 0.3964 The only significant news item this week was the pardoning of Roger Stone.
July 12, 2020
One Week Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump moves into the lead on the one week scan: Trump 0.5238 Biden 0.4761
July 10, 2020
One Week Scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (Intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden moves into the lead on the one week scan: Trump 0.4866 Biden 0.5133
Trump/Biden race for the White House... (One WEEK scan) Category 3: Who does the average citizen believe will win.
Biden wins this category. Trump = 0.3966 Biden = 0.6033 Translation: Based on Net chatter, more people predict Biden will win. Upward trend.
Trump/Biden race for the White House... (One month scan) Category 3: Who does the average citizen believe will win.
Biden wins this category. Trump = 0.4905 Biden = 0.5094 Translation: Very close, based on Net chatter, slightly more people predict Biden will win..
July 9, 2020
24-hour scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump moves back into the lead on the 24-hour scan: Trump 0.659 Biden 0.0.3409
July 5, 2020
24-hour scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden lead on 24 Hour scan narrows: Trump 0.4888 Biden 0.5111
Trump Approval Rating: 30 Day Scan --> (Approval language 0.7085) - (Disapproval Language 0.2914) = about 70% approval language detected last 30 days.
One week scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Negative language, Trump the clear leader in this category. The smaller # wins category. Trump 0.375 Biden 0.625
One week scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump leads: Trump 0.5212 Biden 0.4787
July 3, 2020
A look at general branding: (Name recognition) Trump VS Biden race for the White House. Category-1) Beginning of time: Net Only->General Branding: Trump leads, exceeding 4 to 1. (Biden = 0.1485 - Trump = 0.8511)
24-hour scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (intent to vote for a specific candidate) Biden inches ahead: Trump 0.4318 Biden 0.5681
July 2, 2020
Net chatter PAST WEEK: Will Trump Win? Lots of chatter on the topic. Social media user predictions: Slightly more say no. Trump to win = 0.488 Trump to lose = 0.511
July 1, 2020
NUMBERS UPLOADING
30-Day scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump leads: Trump 0.521 Biden 0.478
One Week scan: Trump/Biden race for the White House Affirmative language (intent to vote for a specific candidate) Trump leads: Trump 0.543 Biden 0.456
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